Not just the number. How much to trust it.
Every Beacon forecast carries a confidence reading built from what's actually feeding it. You see the score, what's holding it down, and what to fix first.
The forecast arrives with no idea how good it is.
Switch off a source. Watch the range open up.
Confidence isn't a mood. It's built from four things you can name, and each one moves it by a known amount. Switch one off below.
Illustrative — Kestrel, $14.6M recurring revenue. The real reading updates itself the moment a source changes.
Usable, not committable. Treat it as a direction, not a promise — the range is wider than most of the decisions riding on it.
Reconnect the CRM sync. Biggest single lift available: +14.
Confidence decides what runs without you.
Automation isn't a switch you flip once. Its reach follows the reading above — it widens as the data earns it, and pulls back the moment it doesn't.
Renewal plays go out. Spend shifts inside the guardrails. The board pack publishes itself.
Anything that moves a target, a price or a headcount plan.
Watching and flagging. Every recommendation arrives with its reason and its range attached.
Anything that spends money or reaches a customer. You approve each one.
Nothing. The forecast still publishes, with the gap named on the face of it.
Everything — and the first thing you see is what to reconnect.
The reading travels with the number.
Computed once, attached to the forecast itself. Wherever that number turns up, its reading turns up with it — nobody restates it, and nobody goes looking for it.
Range $18.7M – $23.3M. Tap the chip for the four inputs behind it and what each is worth.
On the number, not buried in a settings page.
Published with its range and the one input holding it down: CRM sync, 9 days stale.
The board reads the number and its worth together.
The forecast supports it at the midpoint, but not at the low end of the range.
The agent says why it held, in the number’s own terms.
One keeps your numbers honest. The other tells you what they’re worth.
Your numbers are kept true.
Connected at source, checked continuously, complete. Nothing quietly rots underneath what you report.
See data integrity → You’re hereAnd you know what they’re worth.
Every forecast arrives with a reading, so you know which numbers to bet on and which to hold.
See forecast confidence → You’re hereIllustrative
One without the other is just a tidier guess.
Every forecast asks for trust. This one shows its work.
Computed once, attached to the forecast, and the same for every person and every agent that reads it. Ask twice, get the same answer twice.
Find out what your forecast is actually worth.
Start free. Every number carries its reading from the first day you connect a source.